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Airlines!!
An airline
provides scheduled air transport services to passengers or freight
or chartered flight. Airlines lease or own their aircraft with
which to supply these services and may form partnerships or
alliances with other airlines for reasons of mutual
benefit.Airlines vary from those with a single airplane carrying
mail or cargo, through full-service international airlines
operating many hundreds of airplanes. Airline services can be
categorized as being intercontinental, intracontinental, regional
or domestic and may be operated as scheduled services or charters.The
pattern of ownership has gone from government owned or supported
to independent, for-profit public companies. This occurs as
regulators permit greater freedom, in steps that are usually
decades apart. This pattern has not been completed for all
airlines in all regions. The demand for air travel services
depends on: business needs for cargo shipments, business passenger
demand, leisure passenger demand, all influenced by economic
activity. The overall trend of demand has been consistently
increasing. In the 1950's and 1960's, annual growth rates of 15%
or more were common. Annual growth of 5-6% persisted through the
1980's and 1990's. Growth rates are not consistent in all regions,
but certainly areas where deregulation provided more competition
and greater pricing freedom resulted in lower fares and sometimes
dramatic spurts in traffic growth.
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The U.S., Australia, Japan,
Brazil, Mexico, and other markets exhibited this trend. The
industry is cyclical. Four or five years of poor performance are
followed by five or six years of gradually improving good
performance. But profitability in the good years is generally low,
in the range of 2-3% net profit after interest and tax. It is in
this time that airlines begin paying for new generations of
airplanes and other service upgrades they ordered to respond to
the increased demand. Since 1980, the industry as a whole has not
even earned back the cost of capital during the best of times.
Conversely, in bad times losses can be dramatically worse. Warren Buffett once said that despite all the money that has been
invested in all airlines, the net profit is less than zero. He
believes that it is one of the hardest business to manage. As in
many mature industries, consolidation is a trend, as airlines form
new business combinations, ranging from loose, limited bilateral
partnerships to long-term, multi-faceted alliances of groups of
companies, to equity arrangements between companies, to actual
mergers or takeovers. Since governments often restrict ownership
and merger between companies in different countries, most
consolidation takes place within a country. In the U.S., over 200
airlines have been merged, taken over, or simply gone out of
business since deregulation began in 1978. Many international
airline managers are lobbying their governments to permit greater
consolidation, in order to achieve higher economies of scale and
greater efficiencies.
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